Newport County vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
PLY
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
STE
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 0
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BPO
4 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
OPA
0 - 0
HAR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GRI
0 - 1
OPA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OPA
1 - 2
STE
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 3
OPA
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
OPA
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |