Liga Profesional Argentina round 11

Newell's Old Boys vs Racing Club analysis

Newell's Old Boys Racing Club
84 ELO 85
-23.5% Tilt -16.9%
168º General ELO ranking 131º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.7%
Newell's Old Boys
27.4%
Draw
36.9%
Racing Club

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Newell's Old Boys
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.9%
Win probability
Racing Club
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newell's Old Boys
-7%
+12%
Racing Club

Points and table prediction

Newell's Old Boys
Their league position
Racing Club
CURR.POS.
25º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
27º
25º
46
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vélez Sarsfield
51
51
100%
Talleres Córdoba
48
48
100%
CA Huracán
46
46
100%
Racing Club
46
46
100%
River Plate
43
43
100%
Boca Juniors
42
42
100%
Independiente
40
40
0%
Atl. Tucumán
40
40
0%
Unión Santa Fe
40
40
0%
Platense
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Indep. Rivadavia
11º
38
38
11º
100%
Estudiantes La Plata
12º
36
36
12º
0%
Instituto
13º
36
36
13º
0%
Lanús
14º
36
36
14º
0%
Belgrano
16º
35
35
15º
0%
Godoy Cruz
15º
35
35
16º
0%
Dep. Riestra
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Tigre
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Gimnasia La Plata
19º
32
32
19º
0%
Rosario Central
20º
32
32
20º
100%
Defensa y Justicia
21º
32
32
21º
0%
Central Córdoba
22º
31
31
22º
100%
Argentinos Juniors
23º
30
30
23º
100%
San Lorenzo
24º
29
29
24º
100%
Newell's Old Boys
25º
28
28
25º
100%
Sarmiento
26º
26
26
26º
100%
Banfield
27º
24
24
27º
100%
Barracas Central
28º
23
23
28º
100%
Expected probabilities
Newell's Old Boys
Racing Club
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Newell's Old Boys
Racing Club
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newell's Old Boys
Newell's Old Boys
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
CEN
Rosario Central
1 - 0
Newell's Old Boys
NOB
48%
26%
26%
84 84 0 0
03 Aug. 2024
NOB
Newell's Old Boys
1 - 4
Estudiantes La Plata
EST
39%
29%
32%
84 84 0 0
27 Jul. 2024
SLO
San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Newell's Old Boys
NOB
43%
28%
29%
84 84 0 0
23 Jul. 2024
NOB
Newell's Old Boys
0 - 0
Indep. Rivadavia
IRV
46%
27%
27%
84 79 5 0
19 Jul. 2024
BAR
Barracas Central
0 - 1
Newell's Old Boys
NOB
47%
26%
28%
84 83 1 0

Matches

Racing Club
Racing Club
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2024
HUA
Huachipato
0 - 2
Racing Club
RAC
28%
26%
46%
84 75 9 0
10 Aug. 2024
RAC
Racing Club
0 - 1
Gimnasia La Plata
GLP
48%
26%
27%
84 84 0 0
04 Aug. 2024
HUR
CA Huracán
0 - 0
Racing Club
RAC
37%
27%
37%
84 84 0 0
28 Jul. 2024
RAC
Racing Club
2 - 1
Unión Santa Fe
CAU
50%
26%
24%
84 84 0 0
24 Jul. 2024
SAR
Sarmiento
1 - 0
Racing Club
RAC
36%
26%
39%
84 82 2 0