Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
BRA
2 - 0
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
DER
2 - 0
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHE
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
MID
3 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 1
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
BUR
0 - 1
SUN
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
SUN
2 - 0
OLD
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1913 |
CHL
1 - 1
SUN
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1913 |
SUN
3 - 2
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |