Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1989 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 2
QPR
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1989 |
COV
1 - 2
NEW
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
NEW
2 - 2
LIV
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
EVE
1 - 0
WIM
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1989 |
EVE
1 - 0
SHW
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
DER
3 - 2
EVE
30%
30%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
BAR
0 - 1
EVE
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1989 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |