Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1967 |
FUL
5 - 1
NEW
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1967 |
NEW
0 - 0
NTT
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
BUR
0 - 2
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
TOT
4 - 0
NEW
78%
13%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1966 |
LEE
5 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1967 |
EVE
2 - 0
LEE
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1967 |
WBA
1 - 0
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1967 |
EVE
4 - 1
SHE
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1967 |
STO
2 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |