Newcastle vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 5
SHW
68%
17%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
64%
18%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
4 - 2
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 0
OPA
60%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
MUD
2 - 2
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1952 |
CAR
0 - 0
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
CAR
4 - 1
SUN
28%
25%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
OPA
0 - 2
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUD
27%
24%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
CHL
0 - 2
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |