Newcastle vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1910 |
BRA
3 - 3
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 0
LEI
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 1
SHW
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 1
BBU
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
NEW
3 - 4
MUD
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1910 |
BCF
3 - 2
SHW
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1910 |
PNE
2 - 1
BCF
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
MID
0 - 5
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1910 |
BRA
0 - 0
BCF
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |