Newcastle vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1920 |
BRA
0 - 2
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1920 |
SUN
0 - 2
NEW
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1920 |
NEW
6 - 1
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1920 |
SHE
0 - 3
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 0
TOT
62%
19%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1920 |
TOT
1 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1920 |
BUR
1 - 0
BRA
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 3
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
BUR
47%
26%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |