Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
12º
7º
19
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 89 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 89 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 75 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 67 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 61 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 60 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 60 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 59 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 57 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 51 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 49 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 48 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 45 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 43 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 40 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 37 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 34 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 33 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 29 |
19º
|
25.5% | |
|
20º
|
4 | 25 |
20º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
16% | 13.5% |
|
Europa League
|
12% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 0
NEW
21%
23%
56%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
AFC
85%
12%
4%
|
94 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAC
11%
17%
72%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FUL
3 - 1
NEW
25%
23%
51%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
NEW
22%
23%
55%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BHA
3 - 2
TOT
29%
24%
48%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CHL
4 - 2
BHA
54%
23%
23%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BHA
2 - 2
NTT
63%
22%
15%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BHA
3 - 2
WOL
57%
23%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BHA
0 - 0
IPS
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |