Premier League round 8

Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis

Newcastle Brighton & Hove Albion
93 ELO 92
-4.8% Tilt 12.4%
27º General ELO ranking 44º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.8%
Newcastle
24.3%
Draw
29%
Brighton & Hove Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
Newcastle
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Newcastle
+5%
-1%
Brighton & Hove Albion

Points and table prediction

Newcastle
Their league position
Brighton & Hove Albion
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
12º
28
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Liverpool
45
93
96.5%
Arsenal
40
79
57%
Manchester City
34
76
44.5%
Chelsea
36
67
34.5%
Newcastle
35
66
23%
Aston Villa
32
57
8%
Nottingham Forest
37
57
14%
Tottenham Hotspur
12º
24
55
10%
Brighton & Hove Albion
10º
28
53
10%
Manchester United
14º
22
53
10º
13%
AFC Bournemouth
33
52
11º
10.5%
Fulham
29
52
12º
12.5%
Brentford
11º
27
49
13º
18%
West Ham
13º
23
48
14º
18%
Crystal Palace
15º
21
43
15º
29%
Wolves
17º
16
36
16º
24%
Everton
16º
17
36
17º
27%
Leicester
19º
14
31
18º
28%
Ipswich Town
18º
15
31
19º
36.5%
Southampton
20º
6
21
20º
85.5%
Expected probabilities
Newcastle
Brighton & Hove Albion
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
41% 1%
Europa League
23% 4%
Mid-table
36% 95%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Newcastle
Brighton & Hove Albion
Ipswich Town
AFC Bournemouth
Manchester United
Wolves
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
EVE
Everton
0 - 0
Newcastle
NEW
21%
23%
56%
94 89 5 0
01 Oct. 2024
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
85%
12%
4%
94 66 28 0
28 Sep. 2024
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
11%
17%
72%
94 100 6 0
21 Sep. 2024
FUL
Fulham
3 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
25%
23%
51%
94 89 5 0
15 Sep. 2024
WOL
Wolves
1 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
22%
23%
55%
94 89 5 0

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2024
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 2
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
29%
24%
48%
92 94 2 0
28 Sep. 2024
CHL
Chelsea
4 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
54%
23%
23%
92 95 3 0
22 Sep. 2024
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
63%
22%
15%
92 87 5 0
18 Sep. 2024
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 - 2
Wolves
WOL
57%
23%
20%
92 89 3 0
14 Sep. 2024
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 0
Ipswich Town
IPS
68%
20%
12%
92 83 9 0