Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
4 - 2
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
NEW
1 - 0
OPA
60%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
MUD
2 - 2
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
BPO
0 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
SHW
2 - 2
ASV
48%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
ASV
0 - 3
TOT
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 0
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
STO
1 - 4
ASV
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |