Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
MCI
2 - 1
NEW
70%
20%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WPH
2 - 0
NEW
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -3 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
WES
2 - 2
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CCM
0 - 2
WPH
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 2
CCM
68%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WES
1 - 1
CCM
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SYD
4 - 0
CCM
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |