New York City vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
PHU
1 - 0
NYC
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NYC
2 - 0
IMI
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
NYC
1 - 1
PUM
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 2
NYC
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 0
NYC
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NER
4 - 1
CIN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
NER
3 - 2
DCU
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
NER
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
NER
2 - 1
PHU
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
NER
0 - 0
NSC
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |