SV Ried II vs FC Hertha Wels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
10º
7º
63
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
NEU
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NEU
0 - 3
LJU
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WAC
4 - 1
NEU
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NEU
4 - 0
WEI
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
VOC
1 - 3
NEU
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hertha Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
HER
2 - 4
RIE
10%
16%
74%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HER
4 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
9%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 2
HER
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
GUR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LBN
0 - 0
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |