Neuchâtel Xamax vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
7º
33
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 71 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 68 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 54 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 35 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 32 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
ETO
2 - 1
NEX
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
NEX
0 - 2
DEL
69%
18%
14%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 2
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 2
STA
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 0
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 1
STA
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
THU
3 - 1
FCV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FCV
1 - 0
SCB
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FCV
5 - 1
SCA
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |