Neroca vs Namdhari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+1211%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
8º
12º
12º
27
7º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
NER
1 - 3
AIZ
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
NER
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GFC
4 - 1
NER
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SDF
4 - 0
NER
67%
19%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 3
NER
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Namdhari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 0
RKF
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NAM
2 - 4
KAS
51%
21%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NAM
0 - 0
CHU
9%
18%
73%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MOH
1 - 1
NAM
78%
14%
9%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |