New Zealand National League Sur round 8

Nelson Suburbs vs Nomads Utd analysis

Nelson Suburbs Nomads Utd
26 ELO 17
4.6% Tilt 5.1%
12959º General ELO ranking 12719º
38º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
80.2%
Nelson Suburbs
12.1%
Draw
7.7%
Nomads Utd

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
Nelson Suburbs
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.7%
Win probability
Nomads Utd
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nelson Suburbs
-9%
+62%
Nomads Utd

ELO progression

Nelson Suburbs
Nomads Utd
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nelson Suburbs
Nelson Suburbs
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2022
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
4 - 0
Richmond Athletic
RAA
81%
13%
7%
27 9 18 0
07 May. 2022
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
2 - 2
Coastal Spirit
COA
56%
20%
24%
27 25 2 0
30 Apr. 2022
FER
Ferrymead Bays
1 - 2
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
20%
20%
60%
26 19 7 +1
24 Apr. 2022
NSF
Nelson Suburbs
3 - 0
Dunedin City Royals
SCR
39%
22%
39%
25 29 4 +1
16 Apr. 2022
CHR
Christchurch United
4 - 0
Nelson Suburbs
NSF
59%
19%
22%
26 30 4 -1

Matches

Nomads Utd
Nomads Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2022
CAS
Cashmere Technical
6 - 0
Nomads Utd
NOM
90%
7%
3%
17 51 34 0
07 May. 2022
NOM
Nomads Utd
1 - 2
Ferrymead Bays
FER
44%
22%
34%
17 18 1 0
30 Apr. 2022
SCR
Dunedin City Royals
5 - 1
Nomads Utd
NOM
78%
13%
9%
18 27 9 -1
23 Apr. 2022
NOM
Nomads Utd
0 - 8
Christchurch United
CHR
18%
19%
63%
19 31 12 -1
16 Apr. 2022
MOS
Mosgiel
5 - 0
Nomads Utd
NOM
74%
15%
12%
20 27 7 -1