Nelson Suburbs vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
NSF
2 - 0
NOM
81%
12%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 3
CAS
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
WAF
2 - 5
NSF
6%
12%
82%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 2
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
CHR
2 - 1
NSF
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
WAF
88%
9%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
FER
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 0
FER
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NSF
1 - 2
FER
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
NSF
11 - 1
FER
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |