Negreira vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ALO
2 - 0
NEG
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NEG
1 - 0
ARO
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 1
NEG
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NEG
1 - 4
BER
31%
27%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
NEG
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOI
1 - 5
OUR
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NOI
0 - 3
BER
15%
24%
61%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ALO
6 - 1
NOI
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SOF
1 - 1
NOI
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
NOI
0 - 2
AGR
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |