Negreira vs Ciudad de Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
ATO
0 - 0
NEG
33%
29%
38%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
NEG
1 - 3
ORD
42%
26%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
COX
0 - 0
NEG
71%
19%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LAL
1 - 0
NEG
68%
20%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NEG
2 - 2
NAR
26%
26%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
CSA
2 - 1
NAR
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
CSA
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CSA
6 - 1
ARO
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
BOU
2 - 2
CSA
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CSA
3 - 1
PON
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |