Neftochimic Burgas vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimic Burgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RAK
1 - 1
NEF
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NEF
1 - 0
LYU
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SVA
0 - 0
NEF
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NEF
1 - 0
PIR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 2
NEF
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LYU
2 - 1
SEP
53%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SEP
0 - 0
PIR
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
SEP
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
SEP
0 - 4
SPL
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KAL
3 - 1
SEP
53%
24%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |