Necaxa vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 2
PAC
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
PAC
2 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
EST
3 - 2
NEC
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 5
ATS
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
JAG
3 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
JAG
5 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
DOR
2 - 1
JAG
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 1
TIG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 1
JAG
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |