NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
NEC
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NEC
2 - 4
TWE
18%
26%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 4
NEC
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
14%
21%
64%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
32%
25%
44%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 1
GRA
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SCH
5 - 0
WIL
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 4
VVV
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |