NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
NEC
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
3 - 0
SCH
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
19%
23%
57%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
FEY
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 2
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
6 - 0
ZWO
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 0
ALM
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |