NEC Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 4
PSV
19%
21%
61%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 0
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 1
SCH
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
GAE
2 - 2
NEC
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TWE
4 - 1
ADO
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 1
ADO
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
HER
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
ADO
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |