Navarro vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
59.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CUD
1 - 2
NAV
59%
23%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
4 - 0
GIN
39%
27%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NAI
1 - 0
NAV
51%
25%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NAV
0 - 3
TUI
27%
26%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NAL
0 - 0
NAV
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
TUI
0 - 0
CAU
26%
26%
48%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAU
2 - 0
ROB
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COL
1 - 5
CAU
10%
22%
68%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAU
1 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAU
1 - 0
CUD
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |