Navalmoral vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navalmoral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
OLY
2 - 1
NAV
36%
25%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 2
TRU
25%
24%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
NAV
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 0
MAL
36%
25%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 0
NAV
76%
16%
8%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SAM
6 - 2
TAL
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 1
SAM
34%
25%
42%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 1
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
GAR
1 - 3
SAM
16%
21%
62%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SAM
4 - 1
TOR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |