Náutico vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
DUQ
0 - 0
NAU
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 0
NAU
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
19%
25%
57%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
VIL
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
POR
3 - 2
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOA
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |