Náutico vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
5.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 2
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NAU
0 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NAU
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LUV
3 - 0
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AME
60%
22%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
AME
64%
22%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
GLO
23%
26%
52%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |