Naters vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NAT
1 - 2
YVE
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BUL
0 - 1
NAT
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NAT
2 - 1
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SIO
5 - 0
NAT
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NAT
1 - 2
LEM
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SCB
1 - 3
STG
12%
20%
68%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STG
5 - 0
LOC
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 2
STG
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
STG
1 - 0
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 1
STG
21%
23%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |