Næstved vs Hillerød analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
NAE
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NAE
2 - 1
FCH
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NAE
0 - 1
HIL
22%
22%
57%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 0
FCH
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HBK
1 - 0
NAE
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
2 - 0
ROS
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ACH
3 - 2
HIL
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HIL
2 - 2
HOB
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HIL
4 - 0
BFR
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LYN
0 - 3
HIL
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |