Næstved vs Akademisk Boldklub analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
9º
4º
21
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 45 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 42 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 38 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 35 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 31 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 28 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 13 |
12º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
88.5% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 62% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
HEL
1 - 0
NAE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAE
3 - 3
SKI
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 0
NAE
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 0
LFA
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 1
NAE
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Akademisk Boldklub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 0
AKA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
AKA
0 - 0
HEL
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
IIF
1 - 1
AKA
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 3
MID
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HEL
2 - 2
AKA
37%
26%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |