Nasaf Qarshi vs Metallurg Bekabad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
2º
30
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nasaf Qarshi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
NAS
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
NAS
2 - 1
DSA
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NAS
2 - 0
NEF
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
NAS
3 - 1
SAA
37%
23%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FKO
1 - 3
NAS
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Metallurg Bekabad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
BUX
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 1
MET
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
AND
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OLM
2 - 4
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MET
3 - 1
SOG
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |