Närpes Kraft vs OPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
4º
4º
10
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 31 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 30 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 18 |
7º
|
85.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
3 - 1
HER
72%
16%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 1
NAR
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SJJ
2 - 3
NAR
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 2
TP4
40%
22%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAR
1 - 1
JPS
73%
15%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
TP4
5 - 0
OPS
57%
20%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
OPS
0 - 1
JBK
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
JPS
6 - 2
OPS
19%
18%
62%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
OPS
3 - 0
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
KUO
5 - 2
OPS
42%
21%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |