Närpes Kraft vs Musan Salama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
TUT
2 - 0
NAR
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
AIF
1 - 2
NAR
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
NAR
5 - 1
ILV
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
TPS
1 - 7
NAR
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
BK4
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Musan Salama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
MUS
3 - 2
FCJ
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MUS
2 - 3
LPA
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
PII
3 - 0
MUS
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
MUS
1 - 0
TUT
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
JAP
5 - 0
MUS
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |