Nardò vs Città di Fasano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 0
NAR
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 1
ASD
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
NAR
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 2
ROT
43%
25%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
USB
2 - 0
NAR
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Città di Fasano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ASF
3 - 2
VIR
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BIS
3 - 4
ASF
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ASF
1 - 1
HYR
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
ASF
33%
25%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 4
ASF
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |