Napoli vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
UDI
0 - 3
NAP
46%
27%
26%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
NAP
2 - 1
BRE
70%
21%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
NAP
3 - 0
ASC
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
FIO
3 - 1
NAP
41%
30%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
NAP
2 - 1
COM
64%
23%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1987 |
AVE
1 - 1
JUV
18%
27%
55%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
FIO
2 - 0
AVE
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
ROM
3 - 0
AVE
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
AVE
0 - 1
EMP
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
ATL
1 - 1
AVE
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |