Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
30%
23%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
UDI
1 - 1
NAP
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAM
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
NAP
3 - 2
JUV
27%
23%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
PRO
1 - 0
LAZ
43%
25%
31%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
LAZ
1 - 3
NOV
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
UDI
0 - 4
LAZ
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
LAZ
4 - 1
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |