Napoli vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
71%
16%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 1
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
PRO
3 - 2
NAP
18%
18%
64%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
NAP
3 - 0
USC
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
MOD
0 - 5
NAP
23%
19%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1930 |
GEN
1 - 0
BRE
68%
17%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1929 |
GEN
2 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1929 |
ROM
2 - 0
GEN
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1929 |
GEN
8 - 0
PAD
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1929 |
TRI
0 - 2
GEN
28%
22%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |