Nantes vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
17º
15º
37
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 64.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 10% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
1 - 1
NAN
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 4
NAN
4%
14%
83%
|
80 | 32 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 1
NAN
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
REN
19%
23%
59%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
NAN
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PSG
1 - 0
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
USJ
1 - 4
MON
4%
11%
86%
|
92 | 22 | 70 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 4
PSG
30%
23%
47%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
REI
0 - 0
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
ARS
3 - 0
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |