Nairn County vs Brora Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
82%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
8º
17º
8º
77
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
3 - 1
NAI
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 2
INV
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NAI
1 - 3
DUF
67%
17%
15%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOS
5 - 1
NAI
19%
20%
62%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -4 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 4
FRA
6%
13%
81%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Brora Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 3
BRE
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 11
BRO
3%
9%
87%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 2
BRO
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 2
BRO
6%
10%
83%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
5 - 0
DEV
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |