Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
KAA
4 - 2
NAG
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
NAG
1 - 1
JEF
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
TOK
1 - 0
NAG
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
GAM
0 - 3
NAG
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
NAG
0 - 1
URA
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
CER
3 - 1
URA
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
JUB
3 - 0
CER
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
CER
1 - 0
FCY
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
AVI
0 - 1
CER
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
CER
5 - 1
KAR
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |