Nacional vs CD Santa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
17º
16º
27
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 75 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 74 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 74 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 65 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 57 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 50 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 45 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 43 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 42 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 37 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 36 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 34 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 32 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 32 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 26 |
18º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 1
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 1
NAC
26%
23%
51%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 3
SPB
17%
20%
63%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
GFC
44%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GON
0 - 1
SAN
6%
14%
81%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOA
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |