Nacional vs CD Santa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
17º
14º
21
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 82 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 74 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 72 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 67 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 59 |
5º
|
42.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 50 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 50 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 48 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 42 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 37 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 36 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 36 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 34 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 33 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 31 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 30 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 27 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 1
NAC
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 1
NAC
26%
23%
51%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FAM
0 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 3
SPB
17%
20%
63%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
GFC
44%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GON
0 - 1
SAN
6%
14%
81%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOA
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |