Nacional vs Rabo Peixe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
BEN
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 2
NAC
17%
21%
61%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GFC
2 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
POR
37%
25%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rabo Peixe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 0
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 1
RAB
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RAB
1 - 1
EDL
66%
19%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
IMO
3 - 3
RAB
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 1
PRA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |