Nacional vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
NAC
3 - 4
UDL
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
NAC
0 - 0
PAÇ
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
UNI
1 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 3
MOR
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
PEN
4 - 1
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
MOR
2 - 2
PEN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
PEN
2 - 2
UNM
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
EST
1 - 2
PEN
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
PEN
1 - 0
ALV
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |