Nacional vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 4
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAC
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 4
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 0
TRO
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 1
VST
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 4
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 0
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
EST
2 - 4
FCP
18%
25%
57%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |