Nacional vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
28.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1990 |
TIR
1 - 0
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
NAC
3 - 0
FEI
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
SLB
1 - 1
NAC
84%
11%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
BOA
1 - 2
BMA
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOA
55%
26%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
BOA
1 - 2
VST
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
BEL
1 - 0
BOA
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1990 |
VST
2 - 1
BOA
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |