Nacional SP vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
XVD
4 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
AGU
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 2
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCS
81%
13%
7%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
DES
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 2
MIR
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
2 - 0
XVD
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 1
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 0
MIR
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MIR
0 - 0
VOT
51%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |