Nacional Potosí vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
14º
5º
39
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 56 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 49 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 41 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 40 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 28 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 26 |
14º
|
42% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 26 |
15º
|
63.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
UDV
0 - 1
NAC
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 3
AUR
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
OPE
2 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
ROY
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
DGV
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
BLO
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 3
STR
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
ROY
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
PEÑ
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |