Nacional vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAC
4 - 3
RIV
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
FEN
1 - 1
NAC
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
BVS
3 - 1
NAC
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
DEP
4 - 0
RAC
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PLA
2 - 0
RAC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 3
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PAY
2 - 1
RAC
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MWA
1 - 1
RAC
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |