Nacional vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1980 |
OHI
0 - 1
NAC
24%
26%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
2 - 0
STR
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
5 - 0
OPE
85%
9%
5%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1980 |
OHI
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1980 |
OLI
2 - 1
MFF
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
MFF
0 - 1
OLI
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1979 |
BOC
0 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |